October, 2007

My personal investing rules

Categories: Financial | October 23rd, 2007 | by Dave | no comments

Towards the beginning of my investing career, I read somewhere that it was important to come up with your own list of investing rules, and then stick to those rules for a long period of time. This would help you be more consistent with your financial decisions, and can partially take the emotion out of investing.

For example: I had decided for a time to invest in individual stocks. I went through a large number of research sites, and finally came up with what seemed to be a solid list of companies to invest in. I took my IRA which had just rolled over from my company, and put my $40k into these stocks. The stocks were what are often called “falling knives”. In other words, they were in the process of sinking fast, and I was trying to catch them on their way down. The idea was that they were likely to go up later, and I wanted to catch that gain.

Of course many of those stocks continued to fall, and I chickened out and sold a month later, losing over $5k of my $40k investment. I dropped all my cash into an index fund. A couple of months later I checked on those stocks, and without exception they were higher than my purchase price. If I had just followed my own plan, I wouldn’t have lost a penny. My index fund did eventually pull me back past my initial investment point, but how much more would I have had if I’d just stuck with my initial plan?

So without further discussion, my current investing rules:

Do not purchase individual stocks

I partially believe in the efficient market theory, to the level that I’m sure there are plenty of people in the world who know more about these stocks than I do. If the stock fell “for no good reason” yesterday, likely there really is a reason.

I don’t want to get into the habit of buying & selling stocks back and forth. This is very inefficient, and I’m no good at it. If I own whole markets, I’m much less likely to panic and run from them.

Stocks falling in price is a good thing, so don’t sell

It is hard to get used to the idea, but when the stocks I am purchasing fall in price, this is good for me. I am still in the accumulation phase of investing. If stocks go up, I’m buying them at a higher price. If stocks go down, I’m buying them at a lower price.

  • Example:
    • You invest $1,000 per year in a stock that costs $10 per share. If the stock jumps up to $20 per share after 5 years, you will have 750 shares after 10 years, or $15,000.
    • If the stock drops to $5 per share after 1 year, and then comes back to $10 per share after 10 years, you will have 1900 shares, or $19,000.

Lower priced = Lower P/E (especially when we’re dealing with index funds). This means that my investment is actually less likely to drop, than a stock priced at a premium.

Purchase only when your commission is less than 1%

This is not difficult at all if you’re using a discount brokerage. Lets say my commission is $10. That means I need to make sure I’m always investing at least $1,000 per purchase.

Just imagine your stock fell 1% in price as you purchase it. Purchasing when it costs more than a 1% commission is that much more of a drop in price, therefore it takes that much more of a gain before you even break even.

Buy only index funds, and preferably in large markets

I try not to time the market, or pretend I understand where the economy is going. So I don’t want to buy large amounts of a healthcare fund, or bank stocks because they’re cheap right now. I want to buy large market index funds, such as “whole market index”, “international value”, and so on. Again, if I try to predict where a market/stock is headed, if I turn out to be wrong, I’m likely to sell it in a panic, rather than letting things correct over time.

Buy only with limit orders, not with market orders

This is just from personal experience. I’ve seen a stock trading from 10.05 to 10.15 all day long. I put in a market order to purchase, and what happens? I end up with a purchase price of 10.35. I look at the stock, and I can see a tiny blip in the graph where it jumped up to 10.35 for a few seconds (probably just my purchase). So now I set a limit order at the current stock price (or perhaps a few cents more to make certain my order is placed). I don’t time things, so if my order is not filled, I won’t cry, I’ll just get the stock the next day. Sometimes for less, sometimes for more.

Check on my accounts once per month

The way I do this check is that I update our NetworthIQ homepage monthly. While updating our balances, it involves me logging into each account we own (retirement, HSA, checking, etc) and checking the current balances.

I don’t want to check more than once per month, because I’m in index funds. If the whole market jumps or falls day by day, I shouldn’t care. I’m investing for the long term.

I don’t want to check less frequently, because I want to make certain that nothing strange has happened with my accounts. They haven’t emptied, they haven’t grown strangely large, and they haven’t changed names to Fredrico Fernando and been transferred to Puerto Rico. Basically, it’s just to check to make sure everything is ok.

I’ve also found that when I’m consistent with my monthly balance checks, I’m also pretty good about keeping an eye on my finances in general. It is a monthly reminder that I should perhaps increase the amount transferred to the accounts, spend a bit less, etc.

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Well, I don’t post for almost a month, then I post twice in a single day.  Go figure.

I was just mentioning how so many things I’m finding are fluff, and then I found what I consider a diamond in the rough.  What’s funny is that the large value I just got wasn’t from the blog post itself (which was fine), but from one of the comments.

In this comment, the person describes their method of automatically saving money.  Now the conventional wisdom is the following:

  1. Direct deposit funds into your checking account.
  2. Automatically transfer out (or just have the direct deposit do it), a certain amount per month towards savings.
  3. Increase this amount as necessary.

Now what the above method does is that it takes a variable amount (your real salary + bonus) and strips off a constant amount (your savings).  This is basically what I do with our finances, sending $300 per month towards our eTrade accounts.  This works “fine”.  However, when we get a bonus, or our salary increases, etc, I have to take an action in order to increase our savings amount.   If you’ve read any personal finance blog posts (such as all those fluff posts I recently mentioned), you’ll notice that you’re supposed to always save a large portion of your bonuses / raises.

I’ve always strongly believed that people (especially myself) will take the path of least resistance.  If something is automated it will likely happen.  If something is not automated, it will likely not happen.  So when I get a raise/bonus, it is likely I won’t increase our savings amount, and we will end up spending the money.

However, this comment with such a simple idea has struck me as a brilliant move.  Here’s the new steps:

  1. Direct deposit into a high yield savings account (money market, e-savings, etc)
  2. Transfer a set amount per month to your checking.
  3. Live off of the checking amount.

This is so simple yet brilliant.  If you know you can live off of $1500 per month, just setup your e-savings account to transfer $1500 per month to your checking.  Now you can get raises, bonuses, etc, and your personal “salary” (money going into checking) will not change.  If you need to increase your “salary” due to inflation (or some other reason), you manually go into your automatic transfer settings on the website of your financial institution and change it.

Making this simple change has transferred the burden of least resistance towards spending less.  Now, if you’re lazy, you won’t increase your transfers.  Every time you get a raise or bonus, you will be saving that much more each month.  You will have to take a number of steps in order to reduce your savings levels, which makes it less likely to happen.

I’m going to look into doing this as soon as possible, and I’m pretty excited about the whole thing.

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I decided when I created the blog that I wouldn’t post unless I had come up with something I really was interested in posting. In other words, I wouldn’t post things on the blog just because it was that time of the week.

I’ve always been impressed with how often some people update their financial type blogs. Some of them manage to post every single day, and most have a weekly type schedule. However, once you actually look at the individual posts, you see huge amounts of garbage, repetitious posts, and complete fluff.

For example, some post titles I’m glancing at while looking for something to read (slightly changed to protect the innocent):

  • 25 ways to grow rich
  • How to eliminate debt quickly
  • 15 ways to spend less money
  • 5 most important steps to growing your wealth

What do these blog posts include? Do they have interesting tricks you can use to reduce your spending? Doubtful. Do they have innovative ways to keep track of your expenses? Rarely. What they are is an excuse to post some fluff piece that sounds interesting enough to draw in extra traffic. They’ll state that you should save 10/15/20% of your salary, track your expenses, pay down debt, reduce interest rates, etc. And of course they have mentioned this in 23 other posts on their site, just in different ways.

Now I completely understand that it’s hard to keep saying the same message in different ways, but it still ends up being frustrating. The message is correct, and there are certainly people out there who need to hear that message a few times. The comments on these messages are often scary.. “how can you possibly expect people to save 15% of their salary??”, or “It is unrealistic to expect people to pay off their credit cards each month in full”. Apparently this message is still needed for some. But for those of us who are already well educated, it becomes difficult to find those pieces to bring us to the next level.

I am always interested in hearing concrete tricks/tips that people use for their finances. I’d love to hear something original that someone came up with and couldn’t wait to share with the world. I just wish there was a way to filter out all the fluff.

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